storein 发表于 2023-2-4 22:47:57

惠科在郑州的液晶面板项目重新启动了!

请把下面的文章翻译成英语

600亿!时隔5年,惠科重启郑州面板项目。1月28日,河南省集中开展第七期“三个一批”活动,郑州市借此共谋划“三个一批”项目303个,总投资3068.4亿元。“签约一批”项目34个,总投资1136亿元。其中,总投资100亿元以上项目1个,为惠科8.6代新型显示面板项目(总投资600亿元)。

消息一出,业界一片哗然,此前沉寂已久的郑州11代产线项目是要“狸猫换太子”?

60 billion! After 5 years, Huike restarted the Zhengzhou panel project. On January 28, Henan Province concentrated on the seventh phase of the "three batches" campaign. Zhengzhou City took this opportunity to plan 303 "three batches" projects with a total investment of 306.84 billion yuan. There are 34 "contracted batch" projects with a total investment of 113.6 billion yuan. Among them, there is one project with a total investment of more than 10 billion yuan, which is Huike's 8.6-generation new display panel project (total investment of 60 billion yuan).

As soon as the news came out, the industry was in an uproar. Is the long-silent Zhengzhou 11th generation production line project going to "replace the civet cat for the prince"?

郑州面板项目的“前世今生”

该项目最早可以追溯到2016年12月2日,彼时昆明市、滇中新区与惠科就《惠科第11代薄膜晶体管液晶显示器及整机项目》建设正式签订了战略合作框架协议。惠科第11代薄膜晶体管液晶显示器项目拟在滇中新区投资400亿元,计划建设年产864万片液晶面板生产基地,月产能达到9万片,但后续昆明的项目迟迟未见开工。

正是因为昆明项目未成行,惠科才转战郑州,将11代线规划于2018年落户郑州,似曾相识的也多年未动工,市场后续也未放出准确消息。为此惠科重庆先进光电显示技术研究院副院长冯明明曾解释称,惠科原本规划的11代线由于种种原因搁浅了,其中一个原因就是11代线在成本核算上存在较大的挑战,所以惠科将大尺寸面板生产的任务交给了8.6代线。

据《2018年度郑州市重点建设项目名单》披露,惠科11代项目总投资400亿元,总建筑面积130万平方米,主要建设生产65英寸到150英寸等大尺寸4K、8K液晶面板,曲面液晶面板,项目所在地郑州航空港经济综合实验区。

"Past and Present" of Zhengzhou Panel Project

The project can be traced back to December 2, 2016, when Kunming City, Dianzhong New District and Huike officially signed a strategic cooperation framework agreement on the construction of "Huike's 11th Generation Thin Film Transistor LCD and Complete Machine Project". Huike's 11th generation thin film transistor liquid crystal display project plans to invest 40 billion yuan in the central Yunnan New District, and plans to build a production base with an annual output of 8.64 million LCD panels, with a monthly production capacity of 90,000 pieces. However, the follow-up project in Kunming has not yet started.

It is precisely because the Kunming project did not take place that Huike moved to Zhengzhou and planned to settle the 11th generation line in Zhengzhou in 2018. It has not started construction for many years, and the market has not released accurate information. For this reason, Feng Mingming, vice president of Huike Chongqing Advanced Optoelectronics Display Technology Research Institute, once explained that the 11th generation line originally planned by Huike was stranded due to various reasons, one of which was that the 11th generation line had great challenges in cost accounting. , So Huike handed over the task of large-size panel production to the 8.6-generation line.

According to the "2018 List of Key Construction Projects in Zhengzhou City", Huike's 11th generation project has a total investment of 40 billion yuan and a total construction area of 1.3 million square meters. LCD panel, the project is located in Zhengzhou Airport Economic Comprehensive Experimental Zone.

storein 发表于 2023-2-4 22:48:30

分别是H1(重庆金渝):投产于2017年,采用a-Si TFT-LCD背板技术,应用于电视、显示器、拼接显示器、商用显示屏等显示领域。

H2(滁州惠科):投产于2019年,采用a-Si TFT-LCD背板技术,应用于电视、显示器、商用显示屏等显示领域。

H4(绵阳惠科):投产于2020年,采用a-Si和Oxide TFT-OLED背板技术,并同时布局高世代线OLED技术开发平台,应用于电视、显示器、笔电、平板电脑、商用显示屏、手机、工控、车载等显示领域。

H5(长沙惠科):投产于2021年,采用a-Si TFT-LCD背板技术,并同时布局OLED技术,重点突破OLED技术在中大尺寸面板的应用,应用于大尺寸电视,商用显示屏等显示领域。

从已有消息来看,重庆金渝和滁州惠科产线正持续进行产能爬坡,目前产线运营成熟,2021 年度产能利用率超过90%。绵阳与长沙产线仍处在产能爬坡阶段,产能利用率持续提升。

自爆利润大跌恐影响上市

然而重资金、长周期的面板企业,一直被看做资本市场里的饥渴“吞金兽”。频繁的投资,扩产也撕开了巨大的资金缺口,除了与各地国资合作,上市也是它们的共同选择。

2022年12月29日,惠科拟冲刺深交所创业板IPO上市,拟投资项目的投资总额为137.70亿元,拟投入募资95.00亿元,主要募投项目分别是长沙惠科中大尺寸OLED半导体显示器件研发升级项目、MiniLED直显及背光生产线扩建项目、惠科股份智慧物联显示解决方案项目、绵阳惠科Oxide产研一体化项目、补充流动资金及偿还银行贷款。

但2022年上半年,受国际形势动荡、新疫情反复、全球经济下行等多重因素导致终端产品需求减弱的影响,面板市场价格大幅下跌,行业低迷的情况下,惠科股份半导体显示面板产品单价大幅下降,并严重影响自身业绩。

从惠科发布的业绩预告来看,2022年归母净利润预计为-127,054.06至-102,964.24万元,同比下降123.50%至119.05%,扣非后归母净利润为-330,381.08至-306,291.27万元,同比下降166.26%至161.43%。
因此,惠科很可能不符合当前申请所适用的《创业板上市规则》第二章第一节第2.1.2条规定的上市标准,导致上市失败。

即便成功上市,留给惠科的想象空间也不够大

从行业背景分析,前几年国家政策对面板行业十分支持,借政策东风,许多面板厂都和地方政府进行合作,并获得了高额补贴。但现在的经济环境下,想持续往日的高补贴并不容易。叠加经济下行,面板行业不景气等因素,预估惠科未来还有一段“至暗时刻”要走。

从入局时间分析,相对于2005年第一条5代线量产的京东方,和2011年第一条8.5代线量产的TCL华星,惠科股份入局的时间并不算早。在没有抢占到先手优势的情况下,低价走低端路线是惠科的市场战术之一。以85英寸为例,华星的产品是120HZ,惠科的是60HZ左右。

另外,即便是已经上市的京东方与TCL科技日子也不太好过,今年一季度,京东方和TCL科技的归母净利润都出现了两位数的同比下滑。盘中股票较巅峰时期也跌去大半。股市风口不再,源于经历了最长价格上涨周期后,液晶面板的价格一蹶不振。

如此大背景下,即将亮出家底的惠科股份,又能在资本的舞台上收获多少“掌声”。

激光机手 发表于 2023-2-13 13:07:53

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